Over trading
Companies can be too
successful in generating sales orders and this can result in an unsustainable
cashflow position. If sales grow at a faster rate than can be financed from
internally generated cashflow and available bank borrowings then the business
quickly runs out of cash.
Overtrading occurs when
companies pursue sales growth. Margins are cut to generate sales and sales
volume increases at a time when the company does not have access to sufficient
sources of external funding for the increased level of business. In growth
companies, sales volume is clearly a critically important factor. But when
companies get into distress, there is a renewed focus on sales volumes, often
at the expense of gross profit margins. This can exacerbate cashflow problems.
Costing
and Pricing
It is essential to know
the real cost of producing your product or service. Know what price to set,
when to change this price and avoid under-costing - this requires a combination
of information and judgments. If prices are too low expenses will not be
covered, if prices are too high sales will be lost.
Don’t chase Turnover in
this market and indeed use such an exercise as an excuse not to cut costs.
There are plenty of examples of businesses dropping prices to maintain turnover
but at lower margins which are not sustainable. There is a need to be brave, to
not go beyond a level, stay in business, and when the low cost operators have
gone bust, you will be around to pick up the business at a price that is
profitable. Avoid the temptation to simply cut cost and compromise quality,
such an action will damage the long term viability of the business and make it
most difficult to recover customers when the market recovers.
Commodity
Price Movements
Whilst not classed as
“Over Trading”, similar problems arise in sectors that purchase or sell
commodities such as grain or steel. Commodity prices are items over which
management has no control and which can fluctuate widely, often over a
relatively short period of time. As the
cost of commodities rise a well-run sales function will pass this price onto
customers, profitability is maintained, however the value of creditors, debtors
and stock can dramatically rise and thereby creates an increased need for
working capital. A problem also exists
in over stocking commodity items, a turn in the market price can result in
significant stock losses (or gains).
Market
Changes
Reduction in demand or
changes in the pattern of demand can be important causes of distress. A drop in
demand may be a long term trend resulting from changing consumer tastes and
social norms or technological developments. A drop in demand may also be a
cyclical decline resulting from the regular economic cycles of boom and
recession. Seasonal decline in demand is not significant as a cause of failure
except when a company is in a weak financial position. Demand for a particular
product may not decline but the way in which it is distributed and purchased
may change. An obvious example here is the emergence of the internet as a
distribution channel. The growth of out-of-town shopping centres is another
example. Both product competition and price competition within a market are
common causes of decline.
They often occur
together and are usually compounded by the dynamics of industry competition.
Companies may be slow to develop new products because new product launches have
not historically been successful, there is a complacent and misguided belief
within the company that the old product is still the best on the market,
financial resources to develop new products are inadequate, there is not
sufficient technical know-how within the company to develop new products and
there may even be a fundamental lack of creative ideas for new products. Severe
price competition has been an increasingly common cause of decline in
manufacturing industries in recent years as manufacturing has migrated to low
cost countries to maintain margins in the face of vigorous price competition.
Industry dynamics are
another significant source of competitive market pressure. Those companies
which have a sound market focus and sound product focus, good product
differentiation and a low cost structure are going to perform better in the
industry than are their competitors. Companies which are not able to compete in
these areas are destined to failure.
Industry
Failure
Examine the industries
and sectors you sell into. If they are in difficulty then an over reliance on
them will result in difficulties for you also. Specialization is a good means
of marketing your business, but beware of become over exposed. In the current
market those associated with property transactions are in difficulty,
previously those associated with tourism incurred problems.
Small
Customer Base
Beware of over reliance
on a small number of customers. If they go - you go. Broaden your base of
activities to avoid relying on one or two large customers or suppliers. The
success of the business should not be dependent on one or two people outside
the control of the business.
A good business
strategy will seek to develop new industries and new customers. There are four
segments to such a sales strategy. The easy strategy is based on selling old
products to old customers – the more rewarding, but challenging strategy is in
selling New Products to Old Customers and Old Products to New Customers, this
latter strategy ensure that the business is always developing.
• Old Products to Old
Customers
• New Products to Old
Customers
• Old Products to New
Customers
• New Products to New
Customers
Inability
to Sell and Market
During boom times a
business can survive without adequate selling skills. When demand outstrips or
just meets supply poor businesses can flourish. However when normal times
return, or indeed difficulty times prevail selling skills and sales management
procedures are required – the lack of them is exposed and failure can quickly
follow.
Management of the sales
process involved setting a realistic budget, allocating responsibility for its
achievement and concentrate monitoring on reducing the GAP between budget and
committed sales.
Companies in decline
often exhibit signs of complacency. Nowhere is this apparent more often than
when it comes to marketing. Common shortcomings include a lack of
responsiveness to customer enquiries and poor after sales service, a poorly
motivated sales team, an ineffective advertising spend a lack of market
research and poor product development.
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